Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.005730 0.006061 0.006403 0.006786 0.007202 0.007642 0.008144
2026-01-11 0.005138 0.005613 0.006129 0.006734 0.007429 0.008207 0.009149
2026-01-18 0.004787 0.005342 0.005965 0.006721 0.007623 0.008673 0.010006
2026-01-25 0.004495 0.005100 0.005794 0.006660 0.007725 0.009007 0.010698
2026-02-01 0.004363 0.005025 0.005803 0.006798 0.008056 0.009623 0.011770
2026-02-08 0.004172 0.004863 0.005689 0.006768 0.008166 0.009956 0.012489
2026-02-15 0.004017 0.004734 0.005604 0.006763 0.008297 0.010313 0.013257
2026-02-22 0.003839 0.004564 0.005457 0.006664 0.008294 0.010482 0.013767
2026-03-01 0.003684 0.004415 0.005327 0.006577 0.008294 0.010648 0.014277
2026-03-08 0.003577 0.004321 0.005262 0.006571 0.008401 0.010966 0.015030
2026-03-15 0.003398 0.004129 0.005059 0.006366 0.008216 0.010849 0.015102
2026-03-22 0.003322 0.004065 0.005022 0.006386 0.008348 0.011199 0.015931
2026-03-29 0.003268 0.004030 0.005024 0.006460 0.008565 0.011693 0.017044
2026-04-05 0.003173 0.003937 0.004942 0.006412 0.008597 0.011904 0.017705
2026-04-12 0.003097 0.003866 0.004888 0.006399 0.008681 0.012199 0.018534
2026-04-19 0.003011 0.003778 0.004807 0.006343 0.008692 0.012377 0.019167
2026-04-26 0.002991 0.003781 0.004851 0.006471 0.008994 0.013046 0.020765
2026-05-03 0.002923 0.003713 0.004792 0.006443 0.009048 0.013303 0.021613
2026-05-10 0.002865 0.003658 0.004750 0.006438 0.009136 0.013623 0.022613
2026-05-17 0.002784 0.003568 0.004655 0.006346 0.009078 0.013682 0.023094
2026-05-24 0.002710 0.003486 0.004568 0.006265 0.009032 0.013758 0.023614
2026-05-31 0.002662 0.003440 0.004532 0.006259 0.009112 0.014064 0.024654
2026-06-07 0.002562 0.003317 0.004380 0.006068 0.008868 0.013765 0.024347